Advanced Process Control for Semiconductor Manufacturing

Machine learning and statistical modeling for virtual metrology and lithography overlay control in nanoscale fabrication

Overview

Developed advanced process control algorithms for semiconductor manufacturing, focusing on two critical applications: virtual metrology for critical dimension prediction and predictive overlay control for photolithography. Work addresses real challenges in high-volume manufacturing where inline metrology is expensive and overlay errors at sub-nanometer scale directly impact yield.

Virtual Metrology for Critical Dimension Prediction

Built ridge regression models to predict critical dimensions from sensor data, reducing the need for costly inline metrology. Worked with datasets containing 50 sensor channels across 10,000+ wafers.

Technical Approach

  • Implemented computationally efficient ridge regression using eigendecomposition to avoid matrix inversion bottlenecks
  • Optimized regularization parameter λ using 5-fold cross-validation with grid search over log-spaced values
  • Developed local regression models using Mahalanobis distance to identify 1000 nearest neighbors per test sample
  • Used Moore-Penrose pseudo-inverse to handle singularity in covariance matrices

Key Implementation Detail

Standard ridge regression requires inverting (X'X + λI). By eigendecomposing X'X = QΛQ', this becomes Q(Λ + λI)⁻¹Q', where the diagonal matrix is trivially inverted. This reduced computational complexity significantly for large sensor arrays.

Model Performance

Global model with optimized λ = 129.16 achieved R² = -0.55, RMSE = 0.59. Local models showed R² = -0.29, RMSE = 0.69. Negative R² values indicated the dataset's complexity exceeded linear model capacity, motivating exploration of neural network approaches.

Neural Network Extensions

Explored CNN and MLP architectures to capture nonlinear sensor relationships. Implemented MLP with skip connections, batch normalization, and dropout regularization (128 → 64 hidden units with 20% dropout). Used Adam optimizer with piecewise learning rate decay. While neural networks didn't outperform ridge regression on this dataset, the implementation demonstrated understanding of modern ML techniques for process control.

Lithography Overlay Control

Developed predictive control system for photolithography overlay using time series analysis. Overlay errors in x and y directions are modeled using Zernike polynomials with 22 controllable parameters (inter-field and intra-field). At sub-nanometer scale, actuator uncertainties introduce stochastic biases that must be predicted and compensated.

Problem Formulation

Overlay errors ox(X,Y,x,y) and oy(X,Y,x,y) decompose into inter-field (die-to-die) and intra-field (within-die) components modeled by Zernike polynomials. Actuator biases c_k cause realized parameters u_k to deviate from commanded values u_k^ref:

u_k = u_k^ref + c_k

The control strategy predicts future bias c_k+1 and commands the negative value to compensate.

Implementation

  • Fitted Zernike polynomial regression models to 220 marker locations across 69 wafers using pseudo-inverse for numerical stability
  • Extracted realized parameter vectors u_k and computed biases c_k = u_k - u_k^ref for each wafer
  • Built ARMA time series models for all 22 bias components using statistical F-tests (α = 0.95) for model selection
  • Generated one-step-ahead forecasts for wafer 70 and commanded u_70^ref = -c_predicted

Results

Successfully demonstrated bias prediction and feedforward compensation. For component T_x, bias reduced from -0.0052 (wafer 69) to 0.0017 (wafer 70) after compensation. Component T_y remained centered near zero. The framework enables continuous learning where models can be retrained with each new wafer to maintain prediction accuracy as process drift occurs.

Semiconductor Manufacturing Impact

10,000+ Wafers

Analyzed for virtual metrology model development

22 Parameters

Controlled simultaneously in overlay system

220 Markers

Per-wafer overlay measurements processed

Industry Relevance

Virtual metrology reduces inline measurement costs and enables higher sampling rates for process monitoring. Predictive overlay control is critical for advanced nodes where overlay budgets are measured in nanometers and traditional run-to-run control is insufficient due to tool drift.

Skills demonstrated include L2 regularization, eigendecomposition for numerical efficiency, Mahalanobis distance metrics, time series forecasting with ARMA, feedforward control, and deep learning for regression. Direct applications in high-volume manufacturing environments at companies like TSMC, Samsung, and Intel.